US Intel: Putin May Test NATO Resolve With Limited Attack

U.S. intelligence assessments indicate Russian President Vladimir Putin could attempt to test NATO's unity by launching a limited attack on an allied country within the next few years.

These assessments suggest a range of potential scenarios, including cyberattacks or small-scale incursions, aimed at probing the alliance's resolve. The intelligence suggests Russia may be increasingly willing to authorize provocative actions on NATO territory with the goal of fragmenting the organization. Specific targets could include the Baltic states or Poland. These assessments were developed by U.S. intelligence agencies and shared with officials.

The timeframe for a potential attack is estimated to be between this fall and 2029. Three sources familiar with the reports provided details on the intelligence assessments. U.S. officials stated that Russia's goal is to test the alliance. The intelligence suggests Putin could launch an attack aimed at testing NATO unity.