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Michigan Senate Poll Shows Democrat El-Sayed Trailing Republican Rogers

General18 sourcesAug 18, 2026
RightRigor 4918 sources

A Fox News poll conducted by a bipartisan pair of polling firms found Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed trailing Republican nominee Mike Rogers by 4 percentage points in Michigan, with Rogers at 51% and El-Sayed at 47%. The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 3 points. In the same survey, Democrat Jocelyn Benson leads Republican John James by 5 points for governor, 52%-47%. El-Sayed underperforms Benson across various demographic groups, including men (by 4 points), women (by 8 points), white voters (by 5 points), Black voters (by 11 points), college-educated voters (by 4 points), voters without a college degree (by 7 points), and voters under 30 (by 7 points). Benson secures independents by 18 points (56%-38%), while El-Sayed loses them by 5 points (48%-43%). El-Sayed recently defeated Haley Stevens in a competitive Democratic primary, and Stevens has since endorsed him. El-Sayed is a progressive who will face former representative Rogers in the November general election. El-Sayed's staff has faced criticism for attempting to link a patriotic campaign ad from Rogers, featuring a vintage truck, to the KKK and white supremacy. El-Sayed has also responded to the NRSC's use of his full name, Abdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed, stating his name is not the reason for national issues like illegal wars or healthcare costs.A former DNC official expressed a desire for El-Sayed to lose, stating that "DSA candidates do not represent my party."

What they agree on

  • A Fox News poll shows Democratic Michigan Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed trailing Republican nominee Mike Rogers by 4 percentage points.
  • The poll indicates Mike Rogers leads Abdul El-Sayed 51% to 47%, within the margin of error of plus or minus 3 points.
  • Abdul El-Sayed recently won a competitive Democratic primary against Haley Stevens.
  • Abdul El-Sayed is a progressive and a Democratic Socialist.
  • Mike Rogers is a former representative and the current Republican Senate nominee.

Where they split

  • NBC News focuses on the polling gap in Michigan as a "warning sign for Democrats," detailing El-Sayed's underperformance across various demographic groups compared to his Democratic ticket-mate.
  • RedState and PJ Media devote coverage to criticisms and allegations against Abdul El-Sayed, including his staff's actions, his past role in animal control, and his mother's alleged financial links.
  • The Bulwark includes an article specifically aimed at "Debunking MAGA’s Outrageous Puppy-Killer Smear Against Abdul El-Sayed," addressing the claims about his animal control record.
  • Twitchy emphasizes El-Sayed's public statements regarding the pronunciation of his name and his policies, framing them in a critical light.